Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 5.187965 6.165303 7.250059 8.539588 10.026825 11.684212 13.666836
2025-06-15 3.797473 5.060022 6.602177 8.609033 11.134375 14.188118 18.139416
2025-06-22 2.757965 4.065506 5.801414 8.241120 11.541961 15.807925 21.685007
2025-06-29 2.166577 3.489040 5.375884 8.206496 12.274257 17.825059 25.868238
2025-07-06 1.740187 3.038027 5.014084 8.155191 12.913130 19.716550 30.006770
2025-07-13 1.540068 2.881833 5.040849 8.643356 14.342809 22.809578 36.066962
2025-07-20 1.336262 2.673008 4.940197 8.899697 15.422197 25.457462 41.674282
2025-07-27 1.197631 2.546621 4.946471 9.312503 16.766906 28.594534 48.239964
2025-08-03 1.021048 2.312920 4.726557 9.303551 17.404147 30.656757 53.274056
2025-08-10 0.835451 2.021819 4.353624 8.966993 17.434471 31.719377 56.765421
2025-08-17 0.688051 1.777044 4.025894 8.660681 17.467678 32.762898 60.268101
2025-08-24 0.595813 1.632589 3.871057 8.655470 18.029310 34.727835 65.425144
2025-08-31 0.520219 1.513020 3.753987 8.719253 18.743554 37.047499 71.420057
2025-09-07 0.448268 1.386053 3.600751 8.688892 19.273309 39.078888 77.059325
2025-09-14 0.363033 1.203150 3.290462 8.282764 19.015256 39.641589 80.105791
2025-09-21 0.312966 1.102842 3.154437 8.235235 19.470808 41.560901 85.739281
2025-09-28 0.269942 1.011318 3.023378 8.179155 19.897513 43.448045 91.425605
2025-10-05 0.257507 1.010153 3.120701 8.666808 21.528370 47.793369 102.023443
2025-10-12 0.236011 0.974570 3.121937 8.923099 22.674657 51.249439 111.110909
2025-10-19 0.222526 0.962407 3.184425 9.336606 24.205552 55.577470 122.138518
2025-10-26 0.195636 0.895956 3.084384 9.327542 24.774061 57.968759 129.477177
2025-11-02 0.162524 0.796013 2.869060 8.990187 24.545527 58.678595 133.484237
2025-11-09 0.135385 0.709408 2.676032 8.683165 24.353197 59.441345 137.629119